Indicadores ambientais como indicadores indiretos de Corrupção: Uma abordagem econométrica para o crescimento econômico no México
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Este estudo avalia a relação entre corrupção e indicadores ambientais, especificamente a densidade de árvores e o Índice de Vegetação por Diferença Normalizada (NDVI), nos estados do México.
Um modelo de regressão Ridge Cross-Validation (RidgeCV) foi aplicado para mitigar a multicolinearidade e corrigir a endogeneidade. O conjunto de dados inclui dados econômicos e ambientais de 32 estados do México. Os resultados mostram que a densidade de árvores está negativamente correlacionada com a atividade econômica, enquanto o NDVI tem um impacto marginalmente positivo. Essas descobertas sugerem que o desmatamento pode ser impulsionado por fatores econômicos e de governança, destacando o papel da degradação ambiental como um indicador de corrupção. Este trabalho contribui para a economia institucional, fornecendo evidências empíricas para o desenvolvimento de políticas públicas sustentáveis e aprimorando a mensuração da corrupção por meio de indicadores ambientais.
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